Ripe Pickings
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (11 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 754 | 80% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 754 | 992 | 20% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 1153 | 858 | 85% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1153 | 858 | 85% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1030 | 51% | 2013-05-11 | Tied |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2013-03-19 | Won |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1039 | 49% | 2010-02-19 | Won |
| 866 | 1011 | 30% | 2009-05-16 | Lost |
| 1020 | 998 | 53% | 2003-09-26 | Lost |
| 919 | 1156 | 20% | 1993-04-09 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 994.4 vs 977 has a 52.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).