Ripe Pickings
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (10 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German): 60
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 854 | 68% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 854 | 988 | 32% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 1169 | 853 | 86% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1169 | 853 | 86% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1030 | 51% | 2013-05-11 | Tied |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2013-03-19 | Won |
| 1126 | 1020 | 65% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1039 | 50% | 2010-02-19 | Won |
| 866 | 1010 | 30% | 2009-05-16 | Lost |
| 919 | 1155 | 20% | 1993-04-09 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1014.5 vs 977.8 has a 55.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).