Shielding Moscow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 909 | 64% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 955 | 932 | 53% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
| 1044 | 1142 | 36% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1142 | 36% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 932 | 1067 | 31% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1209 | 50% | 2015-01-17 | Lost |
| 1205 | 932 | 83% | 2014-06-03 | Lost |
| 985 | 918 | 60% | 2011-09-16 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1084 | 41% | 2011-02-24 | Won |
| 1022 | 932 | 63% | 2010-09-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1047 | 74% | 2009-01-11 | Lost |
| 1031 | 934 | 64% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
| 1100 | 1023 | 61% | 2006-07-15 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2006-01-28 | Won |
| 1030 | 1126 | 37% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1113 | 1060 | 58% | 1999-09-06 | Won |
| 1058 | 901 | 71% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1065 vs 1029.6 has a 55.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).