Shielding Moscow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 127 (23 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 44
Defender wins (German): 83
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 1000 | 44% | 2025-07-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-04-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2021-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-04-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-04-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-10-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-01-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-06-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 876 | 67% | 2011-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2011-09-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2011-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2010-09-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2009-01-11 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2008-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2006-07-15 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2006-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 984 | 58% | 2006-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1154 | 1000 | 71% | 2002-12-15 | | Won |
| 995 | 1000 | 49% | 1999-11-13 | | Lost |
| 938 | 1000 | 41% | 1999-09-06 | | Lost |
| 876 | 1000 | 33% | 1999-06-30 | | Lost |
| 947 | 807 | 69% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1000.8 vs 988.7 has a 51.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).