Shielding Moscow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1267 | 963 | 85% | 2025-07-31 | Won |
| 1008 | 909 | 64% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 946 | 1139 | 25% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
| 1087 | 1152 | 41% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 997 | 1152 | 29% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1067 | 60% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1220 | 49% | 2015-01-17 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1139 | 51% | 2014-06-03 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
| 975 | 920 | 58% | 2011-09-16 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1085 | 41% | 2011-02-24 | Won |
| 1060 | 1139 | 39% | 2010-09-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1047 | 74% | 2009-01-11 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1067 | 57% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1055 | 56% | 2006-07-15 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1041 | 48% | 2006-01-28 | Won |
| 1034 | 1110 | 39% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1113 | 1064 | 57% | 1999-09-06 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 1999-06-30 | Won |
| 1036 | 900 | 69% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1078.9 vs 1062.7 has a 52.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).