Danger Forward
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (10 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (Italian): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1311 | 22% | 2024-06-19 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1011 | 72% | 2022-11-20 | Won |
| 857 | 1140 | 16% | 2016-10-24 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1094 | 51% | 2013-08-07 | Won |
| 1099 | 1094 | 51% | 2013-08-07 | Won |
| 697 | 973 | 17% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1175 | 53% | 2006-07-08 | Lost |
| 969 | 1047 | 39% | 2003-10-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1148 | 49% | 2002-07-06 | Won |
| 1027 | 1091 | 41% | 2001-08-22 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1035.1 vs 1108.4 has a 39.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).