Danger Forward
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (8 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 40
Defender wins (Italian): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
983 | 1011 | 46% | 2022-11-20 | Won |
856 | 1198 | 12% | 2016-10-24 | Lost |
1095 | 1115 | 47% | 2013-08-07 | Won |
1095 | 1115 | 47% | 2013-08-07 | Won |
701 | 972 | 17% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2006-07-08 | Lost |
1063 | 1083 | 47% | 2003-10-01 | Lost |
1142 | 1112 | 54% | 2002-07-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 982.5 vs 1073.6 has a 37.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).