Danger Forward
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (14 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (Italian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2024-06-19 | Lost |
| 937 | 1010 | 40% | 2022-11-20 | Won |
| 858 | 1133 | 17% | 2016-10-24 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1096 | 53% | 2013-08-07 | Won |
| 1117 | 1096 | 53% | 2013-08-07 | Won |
| 693 | 972 | 17% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1152 | 54% | 2008-06-21 | Won |
| 1152 | 1183 | 46% | 2008-04-19 | Won |
| 1145 | 937 | 77% | 2006-07-08 | Lost |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2003-10-01 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1127 | 50% | 2002-07-06 | Won |
| 1026 | 1193 | 28% | 2001-08-22 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 1999-08-09 | Won |
| 1065 | 1014 | 57% | 1999-07-04 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1045.6 vs 1070.5 has a 46.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).