Sicilian Midnight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (7 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (Italian): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2019-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1116 | 45% | 2018-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2016-06-08 | | Lost |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2010-05-03 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2003-05-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1021 vs 1056.6 has a 44.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).