Sicilian Midnight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (7 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (Italian): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-04-14 | Lost |
1074 | 1100 | 46% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
861 | 955 | 37% | 2016-06-08 | Lost |
907 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-09-19 | Lost |
969 | 969 | 50% | 2010-05-03 | Won |
1120 | 1111 | 51% | 2003-05-20 | Won |
872 | 1072 | 24% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 984.4 vs 1044.4 has a 41.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).