Action at Balberkamp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (17 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2026-01-02 | | Won |
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2025-10-18 | | Won |
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2023-06-30 | | Won |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-06-13 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1102 | 34% | 2021-06-11 | | Lost |
| 940 | 999 | 42% | 2020-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2018-02-04 | | Won |
| 961 | 1150 | 25% | 2016-06-30 | | Won |
| 974 | 962 | 52% | 2011-10-28 | | Won |
| 915 | 1000 | 38% | 2009-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 1074 | 52% | 2006-08-25 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2004-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2004-07-20 | | Won |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2003-09-27 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 1994-12-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 1993-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1029.4 vs 1037.8 has a 48.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).