The Grand Canal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (14 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 45
Defender wins (Chinese): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Japanese): 2
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2023-11-19 | D | Won |
| 1052 | 987 | 59% | 2023-10-26 | D | Won |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2022-08-07 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-07-24 | | Won |
| 1315 | 1092 | 78% | 2015-07-04 | | Won |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2010-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1043 | 1002 | 56% | 2003-08-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 1999-07-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 1999-03-13 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 1998-04-01 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1120 | 50% | 1997-09-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1055.3 has a 47.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).