The Long Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (British (East African)): 4
Defender wins (Vichy French): 1
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British (East African)): 1
Defender wins (Vichy French): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1030 | 47% | 2023-09-17 | Won |
| 880 | 1027 | 30% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
| 1205 | 1011 | 75% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
| 1011 | 1205 | 25% | 2013-03-01 | Lost |
| 893 | 1058 | 28% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 994.8 vs 1050 has a 42.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).