The Long Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (British (East African)): 4
Defender wins (Vichy French): 2
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British (East African)): 1
Defender wins (Vichy French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2023-09-17 | Won |
| 975 | 1019 | 44% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
| 1125 | 984 | 69% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
| 984 | 1125 | 31% | 2013-03-01 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1081 | 45% | 1998-04-24 | Lost |
| 893 | 1041 | 30% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1006.9 vs 1031.9 has a 46.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).