Then Things Got Worse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (French): 8
Defender wins (German): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 943 | 71% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 986 | 987 | 50% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1217 | 1170 | 57% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 1217 | 1159 | 58% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1217 | 1017 | 76% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
| 948 | 1023 | 39% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1035 | 52% | 2008-12-21 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1241 | 21% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1033 | 57% | 1998-09-30 | Won |
| 994 | 1101 | 35% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 1998-01-02 | Won |
| 1263 | 1150 | 66% | 1997-08-31 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1069.3 vs 1083.3 has a 48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).