Then Things Got Worse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (8 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 44
Defender wins (German): 26
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1026 | 992 | 55% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
942 | 973 | 46% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
1283 | 1127 | 71% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
1283 | 1014 | 82% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
923 | 1093 | 27% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
1062 | 1030 | 55% | 2008-12-21 | Lost |
1044 | 936 | 65% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
890 | 1097 | 23% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1056.6 vs 1032.8 has a 53.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).