Then Things Got Worse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (French): 5
Defender wins (German): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1011 | 52% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 990 | 974 | 52% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1214 | 1188 | 54% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 1214 | 1111 | 64% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1214 | 996 | 78% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
| 955 | 937 | 53% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1030 | 54% | 2008-12-21 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1133 | 37% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1067.1 vs 1053.1 has a 52.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).