Then Things Got Worse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (French): 6
Defender wins (German): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 1015 | 987 | 54% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1219 | 1154 | 59% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1223 | 49% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1029 | 55% | 2008-12-21 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1147 | 36% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
| 1026 | 943 | 62% | 1998-09-30 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1070.2 vs 1062.3 has a 51.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).