Showdown in Syria
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (7 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 20
Defender wins (Indian): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 1
Defender wins (Indian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1205 | 1058 | 70% | 2024-08-07 | Lost |
| 932 | 1112 | 26% | 2024-04-03 | Won |
| 875 | 1126 | 19% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1158 | 919 | 80% | 2013-06-06 | Lost |
| 983 | 997 | 48% | 2008-12-30 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-01-21 | Won |
| 1161 | 1142 | 53% | 1997-09-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1029.1 vs 1064.6 has a 44.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).