Surrender Or Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (13 on the archive and 98 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 61
Defender wins (American): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2020-09-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2020-04-02 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 977 | 55% | 2020-03-30 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-05-03 | | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2017-01-21 | | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2017-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2016-11-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2010-08-27 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2008-07-11 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2006-10-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2006-10-23 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 1999-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 1997-03-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1025.6 vs 1037.5 has a 48.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).