Oh Joy!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-03-18 | Won |
| 961 | 856 | 65% | 2022-11-15 | Lost |
| 1063 | 970 | 63% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2019-02-22 | Won |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
| 932 | 1219 | 16% | 2017-07-17 | Lost |
| 1125 | 697 | 92% | 2013-07-13 | Won |
| 929 | 1037 | 35% | 2012-11-03 | Won |
| 748 | 1132 | 10% | 2011-05-29 | Lost |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
| 1189 | 1003 | 74% | 2010-01-22 | Won |
| 1106 | 1080 | 54% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1032 | 63% | 2001-08-25 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 2000-10-07 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1136 | 37% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1036.8 vs 1025.9 has a 51.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).