Oh Joy!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (23 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 45
Defender wins (German): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1219 | 23% | 2025-03-18 | Won |
| 1075 | 941 | 68% | 2022-11-15 | Lost |
| 923 | 982 | 42% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 1019 | 1068 | 43% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 1019 | 1068 | 43% | 2020-06-14 | Lost |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2019-02-22 | Won |
| 1123 | 1024 | 64% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
| 932 | 1217 | 16% | 2017-07-17 | Lost |
| 1058 | 694 | 89% | 2013-07-13 | Won |
| 962 | 1037 | 39% | 2012-11-03 | Won |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2011-05-29 | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
| 1243 | 1068 | 73% | 2010-01-22 | Won |
| 1125 | 1024 | 64% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1256 | 51% | 2005-02-12 | Won |
| 1041 | 1033 | 51% | 2001-08-25 | Won |
| 1068 | 1049 | 53% | 2001-04-23 | Lost |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 2000-10-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2000-04-04 | Won |
| 1027 | 1154 | 32% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1059.5 vs 1045.6 has a 52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).