Oh Joy!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (23 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 45
Defender wins (German): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1222 | 26% | 2025-03-18 | Won |
| 1075 | 940 | 69% | 2022-11-15 | Lost |
| 924 | 999 | 39% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 1017 | 1060 | 44% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 1017 | 1060 | 44% | 2020-06-14 | Lost |
| 944 | 1099 | 29% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2019-02-22 | Won |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1173 | 50% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
| 933 | 1218 | 16% | 2017-07-17 | Lost |
| 1022 | 694 | 87% | 2013-07-13 | Won |
| 909 | 1037 | 32% | 2012-11-03 | Won |
| 906 | 1131 | 21% | 2011-05-29 | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
| 1212 | 1071 | 69% | 2010-01-22 | Won |
| 1129 | 969 | 72% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1257 | 51% | 2005-02-12 | Won |
| 997 | 1033 | 45% | 2001-08-25 | Won |
| 1060 | 1049 | 52% | 2001-04-23 | Lost |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 2000-10-07 | Lost |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2000-04-04 | Won |
| 1029 | 1153 | 33% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1047.3 vs 1046.6 has a 50.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).