Lee's Charge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (15 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 40
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-09-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2024-09-23 | | Won |
| 1085 | 992 | 63% | 2024-05-08 | | Won |
| 1145 | 1000 | 70% | 2023-07-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2021-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1018 | 55% | 2021-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1006 | 67% | 2020-11-25 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1006 | 70% | 2020-11-25 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1119 | 39% | 2020-05-03 | | Lost |
| 886 | 1035 | 30% | 2018-08-10 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1020 | 55% | 2017-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2017-01-14 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1233 | 36% | 2007-06-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1192 | 25% | 2004-09-23 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 1999-04-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1048.7 vs 1042.8 has a 50.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).