On To Florence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (7 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 59
Defender wins (German): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1010 | 902 | 65% | 2008-12-11 | Won |
1013 | 1023 | 49% | 2006-09-20 | Won |
1207 | 1030 | 73% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
1146 | 1097 | 57% | 2005-05-01 | Won |
1000 | 925 | 61% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
1083 | 1091 | 49% | 2005-03-01 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2005-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1079.4 vs 1023.6 has a 57.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).