On To Florence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 13
Defender wins (German): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2025-10-27 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2025-07-13 | Won |
| 1001 | 900 | 64% | 2008-12-11 | Won |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 2007-02-22 | Won |
| 1178 | 1167 | 52% | 2006-11-28 | Won |
| 1034 | 1020 | 52% | 2006-09-20 | Won |
| 1137 | 1036 | 64% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1342 | 1002 | 88% | 2005-06-25 | Won |
| 1154 | 1022 | 68% | 2005-06-11 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1101 | 57% | 2005-05-01 | Won |
| 1002 | 1174 | 27% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
| 1060 | 979 | 61% | 2005-04-25 | Tied |
| 1061 | 1019 | 56% | 2005-04-22 | Won |
| 1019 | 1087 | 40% | 2005-03-01 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2005-02-16 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1076.1 vs 1045.1 has a 54.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).