On To Florence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 13
Defender wins (German): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2025-10-27 | Lost |
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2025-07-13 | Won |
| 1012 | 905 | 65% | 2008-12-11 | Won |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2007-02-22 | Won |
| 1076 | 1162 | 38% | 2006-11-28 | Won |
| 1034 | 1020 | 52% | 2006-09-20 | Won |
| 1136 | 1035 | 64% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1344 | 1002 | 88% | 2005-06-25 | Won |
| 1155 | 1048 | 65% | 2005-06-11 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1101 | 57% | 2005-05-01 | Won |
| 1012 | 1175 | 28% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
| 1060 | 980 | 61% | 2005-04-25 | Tied |
| 1060 | 1019 | 56% | 2005-04-22 | Won |
| 1094 | 1088 | 51% | 2005-03-01 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2005-02-16 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1078.9 vs 1049.1 has a 54.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).