The Coconut Plantation
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (9 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 21
Defender wins (Australian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1152 | 46% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
| 1247 | 1127 | 67% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 925 | 963 | 45% | 2011-05-21 | Won |
| 1063 | 1112 | 43% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1189 | 42% | 2006-09-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1035 | 53% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1141 | 997 | 70% | 2005-10-28 | Lost |
| 969 | 1103 | 32% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1068.4 vs 1071.8 has a 49.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).