The Coconut Plantation
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (9 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Australian): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1179 | 43% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
| 1275 | 1129 | 70% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 925 | 963 | 45% | 2011-05-21 | Won |
| 994 | 1096 | 36% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1111 | 51% | 2006-09-25 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1030 | 47% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1133 | 998 | 69% | 2005-10-28 | Lost |
| 984 | 1167 | 26% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1056.2 vs 1068 has a 48.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).