The Coconut Plantation
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (Australian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2024-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1196 | 42% | 2019-07-28 | | Won |
| 1317 | 1100 | 78% | 2018-09-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2011-05-21 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1140 | 35% | 2007-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1140 | 54% | 2006-09-25 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1035 | 49% | 2006-01-01 | | Won |
| 1192 | 944 | 81% | 2005-10-28 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1086 | 32% | | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1087.4 vs 1067.1 has a 52.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).