The Hedgehog of Piepsk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 971 | 922 | 57% | 2024-06-28 | Won |
| 1143 | 1143 | 50% | 2023-10-23 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1273 | 55% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
| 1023 | 932 | 63% | 2023-05-29 | Won |
| 1081 | 1074 | 51% | 2023-05-22 | Won |
| 1007 | 943 | 59% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 1154 | 1009 | 70% | 2022-12-15 | Won |
| 1109 | 1225 | 34% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
| 1056 | 953 | 64% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 1056 | 953 | 64% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 895 | 881 | 52% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 955 | 1109 | 29% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1059 | 56% | 2020-07-21 | Lost |
| 917 | 934 | 48% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 988 | 1109 | 33% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1012 | 932 | 61% | 2019-04-24 | Lost |
| 909 | 1022 | 34% | 2019-02-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-02-27 | Lost |
| 1059 | 944 | 66% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 909 | 1020 | 35% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1011 | 53% | 2015-05-19 | Won |
| 847 | 941 | 37% | 2014-10-19 | Lost |
| 1109 | 836 | 83% | 2013-08-26 | Lost |
| 964 | 944 | 53% | 2010-03-28 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1101 | 44% | 2007-12-29 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2007-04-19 | Lost |
| 943 | 832 | 65% | 2006-07-11 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1029.9 vs 1016.9 has a 51.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).