The Hedgehog of Piepsk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-10-23 | Lost |
1327 | 1317 | 51% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
1081 | 1012 | 60% | 2023-05-22 | Won |
937 | 943 | 49% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
1029 | 1009 | 53% | 2022-12-15 | Won |
1109 | 1218 | 35% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
975 | 964 | 52% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
896 | 780 | 66% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
953 | 1109 | 29% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
917 | 1168 | 19% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
989 | 1109 | 33% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
1026 | 971 | 58% | 2019-04-24 | Lost |
1013 | 1032 | 47% | 2019-02-11 | Lost |
1012 | 969 | 56% | 2018-02-27 | Lost |
1027 | 987 | 56% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
1013 | 1020 | 49% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2015-05-19 | Won |
879 | 890 | 48% | 2014-10-19 | Lost |
1109 | 858 | 81% | 2013-08-26 | Lost |
964 | 987 | 47% | 2010-03-28 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2007-12-29 | Lost |
1227 | 1131 | 63% | 2007-04-19 | Lost |
943 | 832 | 65% | 2006-07-11 | Lost |
1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1025.3 vs 1030.3 has a 49.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).