The Factory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (11 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 993 | 56% | 2025-08-16 | Won |
| 940 | 1156 | 22% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1030 | 60% | 2025-02-19 | Won |
| 899 | 986 | 38% | 2021-06-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-06-14 | Lost |
| 977 | 1065 | 38% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-06-04 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2002-09-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2002-09-03 | Won |
| 1152 | 1045 | 65% | 2000-10-14 | Lost |
| 968 | 1028 | 41% | 2000-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1044.2 vs 1074 has a 45.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).