Han-Sur-Neid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 1031 | 43% | 2026-05-15 | Won |
| 1203 | 1016 | 75% | 2024-12-13 | Won |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2023-11-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1228 | 35% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1002 | 69% | 2020-03-28 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2013-08-09 | Won |
| 1129 | 965 | 72% | 2013-04-19 | Won |
| 1233 | 1106 | 68% | 2008-10-27 | Won |
| 1071 | 1070 | 50% | 2007-12-05 | Won |
| 1203 | 1070 | 68% | 2007-12-01 | Won |
| 1231 | 1056 | 73% | 2006-01-16 | Won |
| 907 | 959 | 43% | 2003-05-18 | Lost |
| 833 | 1113 | 17% | 2003-02-24 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1208 | 68% | 2002-04-28 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1013 | 62% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1167 | 1342 | 27% | 2001-07-28 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1110 | 37% | 2001-06-05 | Lost |
| 985 | 1060 | 39% | 2001-03-31 | Won |
| 972 | 1140 | 28% | 2001-03-24 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1080.6 vs 1078.4 has a 50.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).