Han-Sur-Neid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (19 on the archive and 116 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 81
Defender wins (American): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2026-05-15 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1038 | 74% | 2024-12-13 | | Won |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2023-11-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2021-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-03-28 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-08-09 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-04-19 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2008-10-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2007-12-05 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1031 | 75% | 2007-12-01 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2006-01-16 | | Won |
| 907 | 959 | 43% | 2003-05-18 | | Lost |
| 832 | 1127 | 15% | 2003-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2002-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1011 | 56% | 2002-01-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2001-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2001-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2001-03-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2001-03-24 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1061.6 vs 1051.7 has a 51.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).