A Belated Christmas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (6 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1041 | 955 | 62% | 2021-03-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 955 | 56% | 2020-04-14 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2018-01-07 | | Won |
| 889 | 1000 | 35% | 2017-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1111 | 959 | 71% | 2013-03-07 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1047.2 vs 978.2 has a 59.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).