Chance D'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (French): 3
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2022-02-04 | Won |
| 1110 | 973 | 69% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
| 946 | 764 | 74% | 2019-12-08 | Won |
| 966 | 1098 | 32% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 873 | 1086 | 23% | 2008-10-10 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2000-05-11 | Won |
| 1059 | 1064 | 49% | 1999-04-23 | Lost |
| 982 | 1115 | 32% | 1996-06-28 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1012.3 vs 980.6 has a 54.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).