The Witch's Cauldron
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (11 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 33
Defender wins (German): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1146 | 30% | 2019-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 1000 | 70% | 2019-01-27 | | Won |
| 980 | 1242 | 18% | 2015-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1231 | 1134 | 64% | 2014-10-05 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2014-09-26 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2001-03-14 | | Won |
| 1179 | 1074 | 65% | 1999-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1102.1 vs 1059.6 has a 56.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).