The Witch's Cauldron
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (French): 4
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1205 | 25% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1014 | 75% | 2019-01-27 | Won |
| 1136 | 1192 | 42% | 2014-10-05 | Won |
| 1135 | 887 | 81% | 2014-09-26 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-03-14 | Won |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | | Lost |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1118.5 vs 1009.3 has a 65.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).