The Witch's Cauldron
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (6 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 47
Defender wins (German): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1014 | 1191 | 27% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
1191 | 1014 | 73% | 2019-01-27 | Won |
1172 | 1104 | 60% | 2014-10-05 | Won |
1135 | 887 | 81% | 2014-09-26 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-03-14 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1121.8 vs 1058.6 has a 59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).