Surprise at Honkaniemi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4 (2 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-10-28 | Won |
| 1037 | 1040 | 50% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1018.5 vs 1020 has a 49.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).