Bitter Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (4 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (French): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1146 | 1157 | 48% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1095 | 68% | 2014-01-21 | Won |
| 1113 | 1087 | 54% | 2012-02-16 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1152 vs 1114 has a 55.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).