Bitter Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (4 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (French): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1153 | 31% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1094 | 68% | 2014-01-21 | Won |
| 1113 | 1088 | 54% | 2012-02-16 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1112 | 57% | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1129.3 vs 1111.8 has a 52.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).