Moldavian Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (13 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 36
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1205 | 28% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 926 | 1158 | 21% | 2016-11-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 901 | 1014 | 34% | 2007-10-16 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2007-04-03 | Won |
| 1302 | 1145 | 71% | 2007-03-09 | Won |
| 1149 | 1100 | 57% | 2006-06-03 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1053 | 46% | 2006-03-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1046 | 41% | 2005-10-13 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2005-04-12 | Won |
| 1334 | 1310 | 53% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1067.2 vs 1099 has a 45.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).