Moldavian Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (16 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 35
Defender wins (Russian): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2023-11-22 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1134 | 66% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 900 | 1188 | 16% | 2016-11-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 905 | 1014 | 35% | 2007-10-16 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1155 | 49% | 2007-09-07 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2007-04-03 | Won |
| 1251 | 1162 | 63% | 2007-03-09 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2006-06-28 | Won |
| 1215 | 1186 | 54% | 2006-06-03 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1039 | 56% | 2006-03-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1046 | 41% | 2005-10-13 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-04-12 | Won |
| 1335 | 1237 | 64% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1075.8 vs 1108.1 has a 45.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).