Moldavian Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Romanian): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2023-11-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2022-06-17 | | Lost |
| 901 | 1252 | 12% | 2016-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2008-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2008-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2008-05-16 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1014 | 35% | 2007-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1155 | 49% | 2007-09-07 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2007-04-03 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2007-03-09 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2006-06-28 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2006-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1039 | 56% | 2006-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2005-10-13 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2005-04-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2004-07-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1019.5 vs 1083.4 has a 40.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).