Moldavian Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (12 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 36
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1273 | 1111 | 72% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 926 | 1179 | 19% | 2016-11-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
| 901 | 1014 | 34% | 2007-10-16 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2007-04-03 | Won |
| 1310 | 1145 | 72% | 2007-03-09 | Won |
| 1133 | 1100 | 55% | 2006-06-03 | Lost |
| 984 | 1046 | 41% | 2005-10-13 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2005-04-12 | Won |
| 1333 | 1260 | 60% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1089.2 vs 1092.6 has a 49.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).