A New Day Dawning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (3 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (French): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1096 | 1080 | 52% | 2006-01-04 | Won |
| 909 | 988 | 39% | 2000-06-10 | Won |
| 984 | 1151 | 28% | 1999-07-10 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 996.3 vs 1073 has a 39.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).