A New Day Dawning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (3 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (French): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 1068 | 54% | 2006-01-04 | Won |
| 978 | 988 | 49% | 2000-06-10 | Won |
| 985 | 1163 | 26% | 1999-07-10 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1020 vs 1073 has a 42.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).