Our Place in the Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (3 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / Eritrean): 6
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1146 | 25% | 2026-08-31 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 900 | 71% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 987.7 vs 1015.3 has a 46.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).