To Have and To Hold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (15 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 41
Defender wins (German): 31
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1142 | 49% | 2026-01-25 | Won |
| 1023 | 984 | 56% | 2023-01-25 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1029 | 73% | 2021-07-09 | Won |
| 1019 | 1131 | 34% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 1008 | 997 | 52% | 2019-07-19 | Won |
| 1006 | 1019 | 48% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2015-11-07 | Won |
| 1299 | 1064 | 79% | 2014-09-14 | Won |
| 1071 | 940 | 68% | 2014-08-30 | Won |
| 1019 | 1032 | 48% | 2013-12-21 | Won |
| 1015 | 1058 | 44% | 2012-07-08 | Won |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 2008-02-04 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1003 | 74% | 2006-06-20 | Won |
| 1061 | 1221 | 28% | 2006-06-03 | Lost |
| 933 | 1182 | 19% | 2005-10-20 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1045.8 vs 1062 has a 47.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).