To Have and To Hold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (12 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 33
Defender wins (German): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1084 | 1026 | 58% | 2023-01-25 | Lost |
1334 | 1026 | 85% | 2021-07-09 | Won |
1016 | 1159 | 31% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
1020 | 1033 | 48% | 2019-07-19 | Won |
1003 | 1137 | 32% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
989 | 989 | 50% | 2015-11-07 | Won |
1065 | 1056 | 51% | 2014-09-14 | Won |
1068 | 940 | 68% | 2014-08-30 | Won |
1137 | 1033 | 65% | 2013-12-21 | Won |
1093 | 1043 | 57% | 2012-07-08 | Won |
936 | 1032 | 37% | 2006-06-20 | Won |
959 | 936 | 53% | 2005-10-20 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1058.7 vs 1034.2 has a 53.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).