To Have and To Hold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (15 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 41
Defender wins (German): 31
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1160 | 1000 | 72% | 2026-01-25 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2023-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1241 | 1021 | 78% | 2021-07-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2021-03-03 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1014 | 41% | 2019-07-19 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1098 | 37% | 2017-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 988 | 52% | 2015-11-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2014-09-14 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2014-08-30 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2013-12-21 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1034 | 47% | 2012-07-08 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2008-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2006-06-20 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2006-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1192 | 25% | 2005-10-20 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1037.5 vs 1041.5 has a 49.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).