Grizzly Bear
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (5 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian ): 6
Defender wins (German (SS) ): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2013-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1048 | 1000 | 57% | 2008-09-28 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2003-12-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2003-11-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1029.8 vs 1044.6 has a 47.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).