Opening Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (15 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (Polish): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1061 | 65% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 1106 | 965 | 69% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 916 | 897 | 53% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
| 910 | 1199 | 16% | 2018-05-29 | Won |
| 1033 | 906 | 68% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1285 | 1310 | 46% | 2016-07-21 | Tied |
| 1015 | 1241 | 21% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 1076 | 53% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
| 1125 | 697 | 92% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1134 | 1041 | 63% | 2009-03-11 | Lost |
| 938 | 1099 | 28% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2005-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1032.5 has a 54.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).