Opening Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (16 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (Polish): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1156 | 27% | 2025-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2024-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1066 | 66% | 2021-12-12 | | Lost |
| 850 | 1133 | 16% | 2021-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 904 | 76% | 2021-02-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 965 | 55% | 2018-06-23 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2018-05-29 | | Won |
| 1054 | 981 | 60% | 2017-10-09 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2017-03-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2016-07-21 | | Tied |
| 992 | 1133 | 31% | 2015-12-01 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2012-11-10 | | Won |
| 1116 | 695 | 92% | 2011-11-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1054 | 42% | 2011-11-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2009-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2006-10-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1043.2 has a 47.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).