Opening Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (15 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (Polish): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1130 | 48% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 857 | 1205 | 12% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 1261 | 1011 | 81% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 916 | 955 | 44% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1192 | 28% | 2018-05-29 | Won |
| 1033 | 1006 | 54% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 1026 | 1000 | 54% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1285 | 1272 | 52% | 2016-07-21 | Tied |
| 1015 | 1041 | 46% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1111 | 1076 | 55% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
| 1055 | 697 | 89% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1134 | 1093 | 56% | 2009-03-11 | Lost |
| 937 | 1100 | 28% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
| 907 | 989 | 38% | 2005-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1053.1 vs 1059.3 has a 49.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).