Opening Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (15 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 31
Defender wins (Polish): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 950 | 65% | 2025-08-01 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1084 | 54% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1063 | 70% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 853 | 1154 | 15% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 1103 | 912 | 75% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 917 | 1020 | 36% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
| 930 | 1123 | 25% | 2018-05-29 | Won |
| 1033 | 931 | 64% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1286 | 1340 | 42% | 2016-07-21 | Tied |
| 1017 | 1196 | 26% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1109 | 1077 | 55% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
| 1073 | 693 | 90% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1127 | 1010 | 66% | 2009-03-11 | Lost |
| 995 | 1099 | 35% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1056.7 vs 1043.5 has a 51.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).