Husum Hotfoot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 162 (28 on the archive and 134 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 79
Defender wins (German (SS)): 83
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 894 | 57% | 2026-06-16 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2026-05-01 | | Won |
| 995 | 1029 | 45% | 2025-04-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2025-04-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2023-10-05 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2023-01-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2022-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2022-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2020-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 972 | 84% | 2019-08-31 | | Won |
| 1005 | 962 | 56% | 2017-12-07 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1040 | 52% | 2017-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1040 | 52% | 2017-05-20 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2017-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1008 | 60% | 2015-05-06 | | Won |
| 1435 | 979 | 93% | 2008-05-17 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1134 | 49% | 2008-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2007-11-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 2006-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1078 | 60% | 2006-08-07 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2006-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1192 | 25% | 2005-02-27 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2004-07-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2003-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2003-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 944 | 71% | 2002-12-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1075.1 vs 1042.8 has a 54.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).