Husum Hotfoot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (British): 14
Defender wins (German (SS)): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 872 | 914 | 44% | 2026-06-16 | Lost |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2026-05-01 | Won |
| 1012 | 999 | 52% | 2025-04-18 | Won |
| 1230 | 933 | 85% | 2025-04-18 | Won |
| 1036 | 1056 | 47% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
| 1142 | 1127 | 52% | 2022-11-26 | Lost |
| 948 | 1056 | 35% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1135 | 55% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1263 | 972 | 84% | 2019-08-31 | Won |
| 1005 | 961 | 56% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1026 | 53% | 2017-05-21 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1026 | 53% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 1239 | 1151 | 62% | 2017-01-04 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-11-03 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1008 | 60% | 2015-05-06 | Won |
| 1434 | 979 | 93% | 2008-05-17 | Won |
| 1117 | 1134 | 48% | 2008-02-08 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1078 | 59% | 2007-11-04 | Won |
| 1049 | 1034 | 52% | 2006-11-15 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1078 | 60% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
| 999 | 1041 | 44% | 2006-03-10 | Lost |
| 1224 | 1199 | 54% | 2005-02-27 | Won |
| 1060 | 1128 | 40% | 2004-07-27 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2003-04-01 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2003-01-01 | Lost |
| 1127 | 944 | 74% | 2002-12-07 | Won |
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1104.7 vs 1052.1 has a 57.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).