Twilight of the Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (12 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 42
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1143 | 37% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 999 | 997 | 50% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1198 | 40% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 1079 | 977 | 64% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 1143 | 1051 | 63% | 2015-11-12 | Won |
| 1140 | 986 | 71% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1342 | 1149 | 75% | 2011-06-23 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1018 | 71% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1060 | 1036 | 53% | 2005-11-28 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1060 | 42% | 2005-11-18 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1209 | 28% | 2005-08-16 | Won |
| 1096 | 1342 | 20% | 2003-11-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1105.5 vs 1097.2 has a 51.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).