Twilight of the Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (7 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (German): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 1190 | 19% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1061 | 55% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 933 | 1259 | 13% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 1128 | 976 | 71% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 1190 | 937 | 81% | 2015-11-12 | Won |
| 1133 | 1027 | 65% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1048 | 1218 | 27% | 2005-08-16 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1066.3 vs 1095.4 has a 45.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).