Twilight of the Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (10 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1134 | 31% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1232 | 28% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 1102 | 931 | 73% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 1134 | 991 | 69% | 2015-11-12 | Won |
| 1140 | 993 | 70% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1235 | 1017 | 78% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 1037 | 54% | 2005-11-28 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1068 | 41% | 2005-11-18 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1208 | 31% | 2005-08-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1083.3 vs 1062.9 has a 52.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).