Twilight of the Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (10 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 902 | 1109 | 23% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1035 | 49% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1256 | 21% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 1183 | 954 | 79% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 1109 | 902 | 77% | 2015-11-12 | Won |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1196 | 1026 | 73% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 1043 | 46% | 2005-11-28 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1014 | 54% | 2005-11-18 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1208 | 40% | 2005-08-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1078.6 vs 1054.7 has a 53.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).