ASL Scenario Archive

Massacre au Paradis

Games with no balance used/recorded: 159 (35 on the archive and 124 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (German (SS)): 78

Defender wins (British): 80

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1167	959	77%	2026-06-27	Won
994	1029	45%	2026-06-26	Lost
1120	1000	67%	2026-03-18	Won
1000	1032	45%	2026-03-09	Lost
1082	1008	60%	2025-10-11	Won
1144	998	70%	2025-01-26	Lost
1000	1039	44%	2024-11-03	Lost
1167	1000	72%	2022-06-24	Won
1016	1000	52%	2021-03-12	Won
1037	1125	38%	2020-06-24	Won
1000	982	53%	2020-05-08	Won
969	989	47%	2020-01-13	Lost
1000	1138	31%	2019-09-03	Lost
1009	1000	51%	2019-09-03	Lost
1075	1013	59%	2018-04-12	Won
1000	1022	47%	2015-01-01	Won
969	1000	46%	2014-09-25	Won
987	966	53%	2014-06-23	Lost
1071	1000	60%	2013-10-05	Lost
1022	1000	53%	2010-03-31	Lost
1100	1000	64%	2009-05-18	Won
1219	979	80%	2008-06-11	Won
969	1435	6%	2008-05-16	Lost
969	1219	19%	2008-05-11	Tied
1039	1040	50%	2007-05-27	Lost
941	1099	29%	2006-05-17	Lost
1009	907	64%	2004-02-24	Won
899	1141	20%	2002-09-06	Lost
1101	1000	64%	2002-03-20	Lost
1000	982	53%	2001-03-21	Won
1000	827	73%	2001-01-13	Won
1344	1000	88%	2000-08-24	Won
1141	767	90%	2000-07-10	Won
1000	1263	18%	2000-02-26	Lost
1000	1098	36%	1995-10-01	Won

Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1044.6 vs 1030.2 has a 52.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).