Massacre au Paradis
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 144 (22 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 71
Defender wins (British): 72
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1062 | 981 | 61% | 2022-06-24 | Won |
1024 | 1204 | 26% | 2021-03-12 | Won |
1017 | 1026 | 49% | 2020-05-08 | Won |
1041 | 1058 | 48% | 2020-01-13 | Lost |
1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2019-09-03 | Lost |
1067 | 1131 | 41% | 2019-09-03 | Lost |
1109 | 1013 | 63% | 2018-04-12 | Won |
1204 | 1021 | 74% | 2015-01-01 | Won |
1041 | 1204 | 28% | 2014-09-25 | Won |
967 | 977 | 49% | 2014-06-23 | Lost |
1068 | 994 | 60% | 2013-10-05 | Lost |
1022 | 968 | 58% | 2010-03-31 | Lost |
1142 | 1172 | 46% | 2009-05-18 | Won |
1307 | 979 | 87% | 2008-06-11 | Won |
977 | 1360 | 10% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
977 | 1307 | 13% | 2008-05-11 | Tied |
931 | 1105 | 27% | 2006-05-17 | Lost |
992 | 987 | 51% | 2004-02-24 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2002-03-20 | Lost |
934 | 992 | 42% | 2001-03-21 | Won |
985 | 831 | 71% | 2001-01-13 | Won |
909 | 1063 | 29% | 1995-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1040.1 vs 1067.5 has a 46.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).