Brasche Encounter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (26 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (French): 59
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 930 | 65% | 2025-01-16 | Won |
| 947 | 1048 | 36% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 995 | 1061 | 41% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1080 | 951 | 68% | 2023-07-18 | Won |
| 963 | 950 | 52% | 2023-06-29 | Lost |
| 1065 | 995 | 60% | 2023-04-27 | Lost |
| 849 | 1032 | 26% | 2023-01-25 | Lost |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 925 | 1218 | 16% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2020-04-08 | Lost |
| 1072 | 996 | 61% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1064 | 1037 | 54% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1036 | 988 | 57% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1051 | 54% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 1232 | 1123 | 65% | 2016-12-01 | Tied |
| 1071 | 970 | 64% | 2013-11-21 | Won |
| 962 | 1190 | 21% | 2013-08-10 | Won |
| 1042 | 947 | 63% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1022 | 58% | 2008-08-20 | Lost |
| 1119 | 904 | 78% | 2008-01-25 | Won |
| 1053 | 1140 | 38% | 2005-10-01 | Lost |
| 927 | 1051 | 33% | 2004-05-02 | Lost |
| 924 | 927 | 50% | 2004-03-31 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1015 | 67% | 2003-10-05 | Lost |
| 986 | 1159 | 27% | 1998-10-24 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1032.1 vs 1042.7 has a 48.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).