Lorraine Series #1: Avril Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (5 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (American): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1147 | 27% | 2025-07-11 | Lost |
| 1206 | 985 | 78% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 1068 | 925 | 69% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
| 1036 | 1136 | 36% | 2006-12-12 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1068 | 51% | 2004-05-08 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1071.6 vs 1052.2 has a 52.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).