Lorraine Series #1: Avril Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (5 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (American): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 905 | 1149 | 20% | 2025-07-11 | Lost |
| 905 | 909 | 49% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 1039 | 914 | 67% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
| 1028 | 1132 | 35% | 2006-12-12 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1121 | 41% | 2004-05-08 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 987 vs 1045 has a 41.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).