Lorraine Series #1: Avril Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (5 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (American): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 1149 | 29% | 2025-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2025-07-11 | | Won |
| 1074 | 925 | 70% | 2009-04-25 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2006-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2004-05-08 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1028.4 vs 1008 has a 52.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).