A Hotly Contested Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (15 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1034 | 1151 | 34% | 2021-04-20 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1010 | 70% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1192 | 28% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1091 | 54% | 2018-06-14 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1148 | 48% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1136 | 52% | 2016-09-25 | Tied |
| 1036 | 1133 | 36% | 2015-07-19 | Lost |
| 989 | 1133 | 30% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 981 | 1056 | 39% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
| 1133 | 989 | 70% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
| 955 | 1001 | 43% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1204 | 992 | 77% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 986 | 1091 | 35% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | 2011-03-23 | Won |
| 1113 | 1040 | 60% | 2004-10-16 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1073.3 vs 1078.7 has a 49.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).