A Hotly Contested Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (17 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 34
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 1127 | 46% | 2021-04-20 | Lost |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 995 | 1083 | 38% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1108 | 52% | 2018-06-14 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1225 | 48% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1208 | 52% | 2016-09-25 | Tied |
| 1042 | 1131 | 37% | 2015-07-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 1131 | 27% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 982 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
| 1131 | 956 | 73% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
| 984 | 999 | 48% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1043 | 74% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 977 | 1108 | 32% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1019 | 60% | 2011-03-23 | Won |
| 1092 | 1060 | 55% | 2009-04-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1003 | 65% | 2004-10-16 | Lost |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2003-04-30 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1090.2 vs 1059.3 has a 54.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).