A Hotly Contested Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (17 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 34
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 1185 | 35% | 2021-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-06-30 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2018-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2018-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1230 | 1289 | 42% | 2016-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1289 | 1230 | 58% | 2016-09-25 | | Tied |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2015-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2015-07-04 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-07-18 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2012-06-25 | | Won |
| 960 | 999 | 44% | 2012-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2012-06-21 | | Won |
| 977 | 1136 | 29% | 2012-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1019 | 60% | 2011-03-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2009-04-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2004-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2003-04-30 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1073.1 vs 1068.3 has a 50.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).