A Hotly Contested Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (14 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German): 36
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1052 | 1133 | 39% | 2021-04-20 | Lost |
1158 | 1012 | 70% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
971 | 1109 | 31% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
1116 | 1095 | 53% | 2018-06-14 | Lost |
1176 | 1160 | 52% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
1160 | 1176 | 48% | 2016-09-25 | Tied |
1037 | 1144 | 35% | 2015-07-19 | Lost |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
980 | 1050 | 40% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
994 | 1001 | 49% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
1225 | 989 | 80% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
964 | 1095 | 32% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
1086 | 1019 | 60% | 2011-03-23 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1090.5 vs 1095.1 has a 49.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).