A Hotly Contested Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (17 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 34
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1091 | 49% | 2021-04-20 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1051 | 53% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 972 | 1246 | 17% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1102 | 52% | 2018-06-14 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1067 | 48% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1056 | 52% | 2016-09-25 | Tied |
| 1134 | 1215 | 39% | 2015-07-19 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1215 | 27% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1201 | 29% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
| 1215 | 963 | 81% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
| 885 | 1041 | 29% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1160 | 988 | 73% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 948 | 1102 | 29% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1020 | 59% | 2011-03-23 | Won |
| 1091 | 1048 | 56% | 2009-04-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 969 | 70% | 2004-10-16 | Lost |
| 1223 | 745 | 94% | 2003-04-30 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1076.4 vs 1065.9 has a 51.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).