Vossenack Church
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (21 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (American): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1245 | 1041 | 76% | 2026-06-26 | Lost |
| 786 | 982 | 24% | 2023-11-19 | Tied |
| 973 | 965 | 51% | 2023-03-20 | Won |
| 1021 | 1041 | 47% | 2022-12-17 | Won |
| 1077 | 953 | 67% | 2021-05-01 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1077 | 45% | 2012-03-18 | Won |
| 1039 | 1025 | 52% | 2010-12-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1073 | 37% | 2009-10-08 | Lost |
| 1060 | 866 | 75% | 2009-04-26 | Lost |
| 922 | 1434 | 5% | 2008-09-05 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1155 | 60% | 2008-09-05 | Lost |
| 1245 | 1204 | 56% | 2008-08-30 | Won |
| 996 | 997 | 50% | 2008-08-09 | Lost |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
| 1150 | 862 | 84% | 2008-02-24 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2008-01-22 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2008-01-22 | Won |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2007-05-20 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2007-05-20 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2007-04-24 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1059 | 72% | 2007-04-12 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1060.7 vs 1050.6 has a 51.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).