Winter of Their Discontent
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (Italian / German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2024-02-18 | Won |
| 937 | 971 | 45% | 2022-08-23 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 1063 | 967 | 63% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 958 | 1028 | 40% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2020-11-04 | Lost |
| 1068 | 922 | 70% | 2020-05-22 | Lost |
| 1174 | 982 | 75% | 2018-04-09 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1015 | 78% | 2016-09-24 | Won |
| 1064 | 1037 | 54% | 2015-08-28 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1220 | 26% | 2015-07-25 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1121 | 50% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1053 | 984 | 60% | 2013-01-09 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1430 | 17% | 2009-08-12 | Won |
| 1233 | 1133 | 64% | 2008-10-15 | Won |
| 1001 | 900 | 64% | 2008-04-04 | Won |
| 1064 | 1191 | 32% | 2008-03-14 | Won |
| 996 | 1253 | 19% | 2008-03-07 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-10-30 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1095 | 50% | 2007-07-01 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1028 | 63% | 2006-01-12 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1073 | 45% | 2005-12-31 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1073.8 vs 1075.4 has a 49.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).