Red Don
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (Italian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1223 | 776 | 93% | 2025-02-21 | Won |
| 1010 | 1115 | 35% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 924 | 1008 | 38% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1029 | 62% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
| 1049 | 968 | 61% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 1316 | 15% | 2021-02-08 | Won |
| 944 | 984 | 44% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 979 | 1316 | 13% | 2019-04-24 | Lost |
| 973 | 987 | 48% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1045 | 51% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1061 | 46% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
| 1032 | 973 | 58% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 1066 | 983 | 62% | 2012-06-27 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1027 | 74% | 2011-06-09 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1032 | 51% | 2010-05-30 | Lost |
| 967 | 1017 | 43% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
| 929 | 963 | 45% | 2009-12-01 | Won |
| 994 | 928 | 59% | 2007-09-29 | Won |
| 949 | 1110 | 28% | 2007-08-26 | Won |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1026.8 vs 1037.8 has a 48.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).