Red Don
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (Italian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1145 | 1109 | 55% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 972 | 1070 | 36% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 1272 | 18% | 2021-02-08 | Won |
| 958 | 984 | 46% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 979 | 1272 | 16% | 2019-04-24 | Lost |
| 1019 | 987 | 55% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 983 | 60% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1026 | 52% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
| 989 | 957 | 55% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 1067 | 982 | 62% | 2012-06-27 | Lost |
| 907 | 1028 | 33% | 2011-06-09 | Lost |
| 975 | 989 | 48% | 2010-05-30 | Lost |
| 920 | 1000 | 39% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
| 993 | 963 | 54% | 2009-12-01 | Won |
| 994 | 932 | 59% | 2007-09-29 | Won |
| 957 | 1122 | 28% | 2007-08-26 | Won |
| 993 | 1120 | 32% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 997.9 vs 1043.6 has a 43.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).