Heroic Defense of Wake
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (4 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 1072 | 47% | 2017-12-22 | Won |
| 1123 | 1023 | 64% | 2017-06-01 | Won |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2017-06-01 | Won |
| 1068 | 1235 | 28% | 2007-07-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1091.5 vs 1096.3 has a 49.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).