"Ne Pas Subir"
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 142 (29 on the archive and 113 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 64
Defender wins (German): 78
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 963 | 55% | 2025-10-17 | | Won |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2023-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 952 | 68% | 2023-06-08 | | Won |
| 980 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-10-18 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-01-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2019-02-10 | | Won |
| 975 | 1226 | 19% | 2017-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1008 | 57% | 2017-02-05 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2016-10-22 | | Won |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2016-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2015-03-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2014-12-27 | | Lost |
| 938 | 1226 | 16% | 2013-10-12 | | Lost |
| 921 | 1000 | 39% | 2013-03-06 | | Lost |
| 976 | 987 | 48% | 2012-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 953 | 82% | 2012-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 841 | 71% | 2012-03-19 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1145 | 50% | 2011-08-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 954 | 57% | 2010-06-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2010-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1183 | 28% | 2010-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1167 | 30% | 2009-06-07 | | Won |
| 1066 | 992 | 60% | 2009-02-25 | | Won |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2008-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2008-08-30 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2008-07-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2008-04-26 | | Won |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2008-03-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1018.8 vs 1042.3 has a 46.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).