"Ne Pas Subir"
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (French): 13
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1021 | 49% | 2025-10-17 | Won |
| 995 | 994 | 50% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1027 | 989 | 55% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 1089 | 985 | 65% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
| 990 | 1126 | 31% | 2022-10-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 1045 | 1003 | 56% | 2019-02-10 | Won |
| 975 | 1226 | 19% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1009 | 49% | 2017-02-05 | Lost |
| 1107 | 943 | 72% | 2016-10-22 | Won |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2016-09-22 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1063 | 51% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
| 1120 | 1003 | 66% | 2014-12-27 | Lost |
| 939 | 1226 | 16% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 885 | 1042 | 29% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 1134 | 29% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 1119 | 953 | 72% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 1003 | 889 | 66% | 2012-03-19 | Won |
| 1079 | 1124 | 44% | 2011-08-09 | Lost |
| 976 | 1043 | 40% | 2010-06-26 | Won |
| 1037 | 1099 | 41% | 2010-05-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1083 | 40% | 2010-01-19 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1174 | 50% | 2009-06-07 | Won |
| 1063 | 992 | 60% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1063 | 930 | 68% | 2008-09-19 | Lost |
| 1216 | 989 | 79% | 2008-08-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 929 | 60% | 2008-07-26 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1063 | 42% | 2008-04-26 | Won |
| 713 | 1151 | 7% | 2008-03-03 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1022.7 vs 1049.3 has a 46.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).