"Ne Pas Subir"
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (French): 13
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 999 | 54% | 2025-10-17 | Won |
| 984 | 994 | 49% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1027 | 989 | 55% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 1080 | 986 | 63% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
| 991 | 936 | 58% | 2022-10-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 1039 | 1003 | 55% | 2019-02-10 | Won |
| 975 | 1226 | 19% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1005 | 50% | 2017-02-05 | Lost |
| 1108 | 942 | 72% | 2016-10-22 | Won |
| 982 | 1218 | 20% | 2016-09-22 | Lost |
| 1067 | 974 | 63% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
| 1131 | 1003 | 68% | 2014-12-27 | Lost |
| 939 | 1226 | 16% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 884 | 1041 | 29% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 967 | 51% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 1208 | 953 | 81% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 1009 | 843 | 72% | 2012-03-19 | Won |
| 1135 | 1129 | 51% | 2011-08-09 | Lost |
| 976 | 1024 | 43% | 2010-06-26 | Won |
| 1037 | 1099 | 41% | 2010-05-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1085 | 40% | 2010-01-19 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1159 | 53% | 2009-06-07 | Won |
| 1066 | 992 | 60% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 974 | 930 | 56% | 2008-09-19 | Lost |
| 1220 | 989 | 79% | 2008-08-30 | Won |
| 960 | 933 | 54% | 2008-07-26 | Lost |
| 1010 | 974 | 55% | 2008-04-26 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2008-03-03 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1025.4 vs 1027.3 has a 49.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).