"Ne Pas Subir"
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (French): 11
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 967 | 59% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 977 | 916 | 59% | 2022-10-18 | Lost |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 1046 | 1036 | 51% | 2019-02-10 | Won |
| 975 | 1223 | 19% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1001 | 55% | 2017-02-05 | Lost |
| 1094 | 943 | 70% | 2016-10-22 | Won |
| 981 | 1215 | 21% | 2016-09-22 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1079 | 46% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
| 1119 | 1036 | 62% | 2014-12-27 | Lost |
| 927 | 1223 | 15% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 883 | 1042 | 29% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 1030 | 42% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 1198 | 973 | 79% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 1001 | 941 | 59% | 2012-03-19 | Won |
| 1022 | 1105 | 38% | 2011-08-09 | Lost |
| 965 | 957 | 51% | 2010-06-26 | Won |
| 1050 | 1096 | 43% | 2010-05-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1039 | 46% | 2010-01-19 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1120 | 49% | 2009-06-07 | Won |
| 1047 | 991 | 58% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1079 | 1018 | 59% | 2008-09-19 | Lost |
| 1311 | 1165 | 70% | 2008-08-30 | Won |
| 936 | 929 | 51% | 2008-07-26 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1079 | 40% | 2008-04-26 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1032.8 vs 1046.2 has a 48.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).