On the Verge of Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (6 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1021 | 43% | 2015-02-08 | Won |
| 1153 | 1067 | 62% | 2013-02-21 | Lost |
| 1015 | 898 | 66% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1080 | 1144 | 41% | 2009-03-28 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-09-02 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2008-08-14 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1069.7 vs 1054.2 has a 52.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).