On the Verge of Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (6 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2015-02-08 | | Won |
| 1155 | 1071 | 62% | 2013-02-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2012-12-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2009-03-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2008-09-02 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2008-08-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1038.8 vs 1065 has a 46.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).