Bocage Blockage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 127 (25 on the archive and 102 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 57
Defender wins (German): 70
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2025-06-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2024-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2023-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1198 | 998 | 76% | 2020-10-29 | | Won |
| 998 | 1198 | 24% | 2020-10-22 | | Lost |
| 886 | 841 | 56% | 2019-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2017-10-06 | | Won |
| 990 | 692 | 85% | 2015-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1001 | 1152 | 30% | 2013-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2013-05-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2010-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1130 | 1263 | 32% | 2010-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1201 | 27% | 2009-12-12 | | Won |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2009-10-30 | | Won |
| 1019 | 985 | 55% | 2009-10-24 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2009-10-23 | | Won |
| 1008 | 992 | 52% | 2009-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2009-08-15 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1008 | 48% | 2009-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2009-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2009-05-02 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1035 | 54% | 2009-04-06 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1233 | 36% | 2008-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1141 | 34% | 2008-10-07 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2008-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1038 vs 1034.4 has a 50.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).