A Lesson for Lehr
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (14 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 978 | 50% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1151 | 1134 | 52% | 2022-09-25 | Won |
| 1272 | 1229 | 56% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 979 | 921 | 58% | 2013-12-13 | Lost |
| 979 | 1091 | 34% | 2013-12-11 | Lost |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2013-08-07 | Lost |
| 975 | 989 | 48% | 2010-06-13 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1047 | 74% | 2009-06-28 | Won |
| 1001 | 872 | 68% | 2009-04-07 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1062 | 47% | 2009-03-25 | Won |
| 1030 | 1272 | 20% | 2008-10-02 | Won |
| 1122 | 1001 | 67% | 2008-08-22 | Lost |
| 1107 | 907 | 76% | 2008-07-12 | Lost |
| 1120 | 985 | 69% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1068.9 vs 1033.6 has a 55.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).