A Lesson for Lehr
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (16 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1159 | 1143 | 52% | 2022-09-25 | Won |
| 925 | 1283 | 11% | 2018-04-29 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1229 | 53% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 970 | 921 | 57% | 2013-12-13 | Lost |
| 970 | 1101 | 32% | 2013-12-11 | Lost |
| 984 | 995 | 48% | 2013-08-07 | Lost |
| 1098 | 991 | 65% | 2010-06-13 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1046 | 74% | 2009-06-28 | Won |
| 1007 | 870 | 69% | 2009-04-07 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1149 | 39% | 2009-03-25 | Won |
| 1283 | 1068 | 78% | 2009-02-01 | Won |
| 1036 | 1259 | 22% | 2008-10-02 | Won |
| 1123 | 1000 | 67% | 2008-08-22 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1248 | 27% | 2008-07-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 985 | 56% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1072.4 vs 1077.3 has a 49.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).