The Bavent Recce
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Canadian): 3
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1056 | 35% | 2025-11-09 | Lost |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1220 | 955 | 82% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 913 | 927 | 48% | 2015-12-18 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1125 | 41% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2009-02-01 | Won |
| 1102 | 1073 | 54% | 2008-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1039.3 vs 1017.9 has a 53.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).