Farmyard Affray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1108 | 900 | 77% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 1108 | 900 | 77% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 969 | 1032 | 41% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1108 | 36% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1073 | 57% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 1027 | 1072 | 44% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 984 | 56% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 983 | 1152 | 27% | 2022-10-01 | Won |
| 939 | 1213 | 17% | 2018-08-20 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1054 | 63% | 2013-10-29 | Won |
| 1042 | 1110 | 40% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 1140 | 1153 | 48% | 2008-10-12 | Won |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1053.3 vs 1052.3 has a 50.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).