Farmyard Affray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Canadian): 8
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1167 | 1062 | 65% | 2026-06-28 | Won |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1031 | 46% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1011 | 992 | 53% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1167 | 44% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 1016 | 1030 | 48% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1143 | 973 | 73% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 969 | 58% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1046 | 1153 | 35% | 2022-10-01 | Won |
| 939 | 1216 | 17% | 2018-08-20 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1045 | 65% | 2013-10-29 | Won |
| 1021 | 1110 | 37% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 1140 | 1153 | 48% | 2008-10-12 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1055.3 vs 1067.7 has a 48.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).