Bidermann's Escape
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 217 (43 on the archive and 174 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 111
Defender wins (Russian): 106
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1307 | 1025 | 84% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
1030 | 1037 | 49% | 2024-01-12 | Lost |
1156 | 1137 | 53% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
1006 | 1144 | 31% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
1038 | 1208 | 27% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
935 | 992 | 42% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
1083 | 1094 | 48% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
1030 | 1016 | 52% | 2018-08-04 | Won |
1158 | 1029 | 68% | 2017-07-20 | Won |
992 | 1083 | 37% | 2016-05-27 | Won |
1084 | 1142 | 42% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
1005 | 1030 | 46% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
1058 | 1008 | 57% | 2014-04-12 | Won |
1058 | 1012 | 57% | 2014-03-24 | Lost |
1114 | 1125 | 48% | 2013-10-25 | Lost |
1307 | 1168 | 69% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
1097 | 980 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
1097 | 980 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2012-12-12 | Won |
1083 | 1050 | 55% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
944 | 1097 | 29% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
1105 | 1005 | 64% | 2012-05-30 | Won |
1073 | 1097 | 47% | 2012-02-24 | Lost |
846 | 977 | 32% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
1051 | 1095 | 44% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
919 | 1197 | 17% | 2010-10-31 | Won |
1018 | 1197 | 26% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
851 | 1019 | 28% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
816 | 1095 | 17% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2010-07-12 | Lost |
1062 | 1131 | 40% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
1047 | 994 | 58% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
851 | 909 | 42% | 2010-04-01 | Lost |
1273 | 1142 | 68% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
890 | 1087 | 24% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
1360 | 1088 | 83% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
1083 | 1003 | 61% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
1083 | 1003 | 61% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
987 | 1108 | 33% | 2009-06-13 | Won |
1006 | 1093 | 38% | 2009-03-10 | Won |
1085 | 1083 | 50% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2008-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1053.4 vs 1067.6 has a 47.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).