Bidermann's Escape
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 230 (50 on the archive and 180 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 121
Defender wins (Russian): 109
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1054 | 53% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1316 | 1011 | 85% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1019 | 59% | 2024-01-12 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1137 | 52% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1223 | 1032 | 75% | 2021-03-17 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1116 | 906 | 77% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1209 | 28% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 929 | 986 | 42% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
| 1014 | 991 | 53% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1084 | 1016 | 60% | 2018-08-04 | Won |
| 1158 | 929 | 79% | 2017-07-20 | Won |
| 979 | 1014 | 45% | 2016-05-27 | Won |
| 1115 | 1133 | 47% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1029 | 50% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
| 1040 | 1008 | 55% | 2014-04-12 | Won |
| 1040 | 1012 | 54% | 2014-03-24 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1125 | 48% | 2013-10-25 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1053 | 54% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1316 | 1168 | 70% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
| 1098 | 982 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
| 1098 | 982 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2012-12-12 | Won |
| 1014 | 1036 | 47% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 942 | 1098 | 29% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1099 | 1026 | 60% | 2012-05-30 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2012-02-24 | Lost |
| 846 | 966 | 33% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1049 | 1147 | 36% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 1141 | 22% | 2010-10-31 | Won |
| 1018 | 1141 | 33% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 852 | 1018 | 28% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1147 | 51% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1115 | 1010 | 65% | 2010-07-12 | Lost |
| 1046 | 945 | 64% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1132 | 33% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 852 | 909 | 42% | 2010-04-01 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1087 | 40% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1133 | 67% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
| 890 | 1061 | 27% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1407 | 1088 | 86% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 1014 | 1002 | 52% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 1002 | 52% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 960 | 1121 | 28% | 2009-06-13 | Won |
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2009-03-10 | Won |
| 1085 | 1014 | 60% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2008-06-23 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (28 wins) average ELOs: 1065 vs 1059 has a 50.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).