Rehearsal for Crete
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (8 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Greek / New Zealand / Australian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 2026-06-28 | Won |
| 1021 | 948 | 60% | 2024-08-04 | Won |
| 1125 | 1119 | 51% | 2020-04-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-10-28 | Won |
| 961 | 966 | 49% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1034 | 1021 | 52% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 1127 | 1092 | 55% | 2010-10-01 | Won |
| 1128 | 1031 | 64% | 2010-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1075.1 vs 1047.8 has a 53.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).