Rehearsal for Crete
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (7 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Greek / New Zealand / Australian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 748 | 943 | 25% | 2024-08-04 | Won |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2020-04-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-10-28 | Won |
| 948 | 994 | 43% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1033 | 748 | 84% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 1111 | 1096 | 52% | 2010-10-01 | Won |
| 1148 | 1128 | 53% | 2010-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1028.3 vs 1017 has a 51.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).