Speed Over Caution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2024-12-16 | Lost |
| 844 | 1151 | 15% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 884 | 1012 | 32% | 2021-02-12 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1030 | 50% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 964 | 1141 | 27% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1178 | 30% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1143 | 35% | 2020-08-14 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1120 | 52% | 2020-02-29 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1065 | 45% | 2019-05-25 | Lost |
| 1028 | 978 | 57% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 870 | 1218 | 12% | 2017-07-17 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1143 | 38% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 1174 | 1131 | 56% | 2015-03-08 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1131 | 56% | 2015-02-26 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1131 | 39% | 2015-02-22 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1169 | 37% | 2015-02-21 | Lost |
| 969 | 1024 | 42% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
| 1126 | 1141 | 48% | 2012-04-05 | Lost |
| 918 | 1101 | 26% | 2011-04-01 | Won |
| 1085 | 1015 | 60% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1028 | 1101 | 40% | 2011-02-19 | Lost |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2010-12-27 | Won |
| 1208 | 1094 | 66% | 2010-03-26 | Won |
| 1075 | 1169 | 37% | 2010-03-10 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1038.6 vs 1088.6 has a 42.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).