Speed Over Caution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2024-12-16 | Lost |
| 844 | 1177 | 13% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 903 | 1012 | 35% | 2021-02-12 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1031 | 47% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 976 | 1140 | 28% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1181 | 32% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1141 | 38% | 2020-08-14 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1119 | 52% | 2020-02-29 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1057 | 50% | 2019-05-25 | Lost |
| 1011 | 978 | 55% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 881 | 1217 | 13% | 2017-07-17 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1143 | 38% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2015-03-08 | Lost |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2015-02-26 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1125 | 42% | 2015-02-22 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1169 | 36% | 2015-02-21 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1072 | 46% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
| 1126 | 1142 | 48% | 2012-04-05 | Lost |
| 923 | 1101 | 26% | 2011-04-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 1015 | 61% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1027 | 1101 | 40% | 2011-02-19 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2010-12-27 | Won |
| 1176 | 1092 | 62% | 2010-03-26 | Won |
| 1068 | 1214 | 30% | 2010-03-10 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1090.7 has a 40.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).