Speed Over Caution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
896 | 928 | 45% | 2024-12-16 | Lost |
844 | 1223 | 10% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
966 | 998 | 45% | 2021-02-12 | Lost |
1022 | 1042 | 47% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
1029 | 1165 | 31% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
1029 | 1079 | 43% | 2020-08-14 | Lost |
1116 | 998 | 66% | 2020-02-29 | Lost |
1029 | 1056 | 46% | 2019-05-25 | Lost |
1022 | 953 | 60% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
907 | 1219 | 14% | 2017-07-17 | Lost |
1058 | 1130 | 40% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2015-03-08 | Lost |
1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2015-02-26 | Lost |
1086 | 1207 | 33% | 2015-02-22 | Lost |
1061 | 1107 | 43% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
1125 | 1143 | 47% | 2012-04-05 | Lost |
938 | 1098 | 28% | 2011-04-01 | Won |
1010 | 1010 | 50% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
1040 | 1098 | 42% | 2011-02-19 | Lost |
1141 | 1090 | 57% | 2010-03-26 | Won |
976 | 1210 | 21% | 2010-03-10 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1017.1 vs 1103.2 has a 37.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).