Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (7 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Norwegian / Swedish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2025-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2025-04-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2021-06-05 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1028 | 54% | 2021-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2017-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2009-10-24 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1205 | 30% | 2009-09-03 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1040.3 vs 1056.1 has a 47.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).