Smiling Albert
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (17 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2025-06-27 | Won |
| 1074 | 1094 | 47% | 2025-05-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2025-04-15 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1110 | 37% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 930 | 1100 | 27% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1412 | 1109 | 85% | 2016-09-07 | Won |
| 1070 | 1042 | 54% | 2014-10-13 | Won |
| 1080 | 973 | 65% | 2012-03-23 | Won |
| 1310 | 1212 | 64% | 2012-02-08 | Won |
| 994 | 1150 | 29% | 2011-10-21 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1018 | 66% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1086 | 49% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 999 | 1073 | 40% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2011-05-12 | Won |
| 1087 | 905 | 74% | 2010-01-16 | Won |
| 1170 | 1003 | 72% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 898 | 987 | 37% | 2009-11-05 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1093.2 vs 1061.2 has a 54.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).