Smiling Albert
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (18 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (American): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2025-06-27 | Won |
| 1089 | 1082 | 51% | 2025-05-17 | Won |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2025-04-15 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1122 | 36% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 931 | 1098 | 28% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1419 | 1156 | 82% | 2016-09-07 | Won |
| 1070 | 1038 | 55% | 2014-10-13 | Won |
| 1029 | 971 | 58% | 2012-03-23 | Won |
| 1274 | 1212 | 59% | 2012-02-08 | Won |
| 980 | 1090 | 35% | 2011-10-21 | Lost |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 2011-08-08 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1019 | 66% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 986 | 1072 | 38% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 999 | 1095 | 37% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2011-05-12 | Won |
| 1102 | 904 | 76% | 2010-01-16 | Won |
| 1178 | 1053 | 67% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 898 | 987 | 37% | 2009-11-05 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1072.1 has a 48.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).