Smiling Albert
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (14 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (American): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1016 | 1110 | 37% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
932 | 1108 | 27% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
1400 | 1096 | 85% | 2016-09-07 | Won |
1070 | 1015 | 58% | 2014-10-13 | Won |
1070 | 973 | 64% | 2012-03-23 | Won |
1303 | 1212 | 63% | 2012-02-08 | Won |
1004 | 1136 | 32% | 2011-10-21 | Lost |
1133 | 1018 | 66% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
1126 | 1049 | 61% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
1001 | 1020 | 47% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2011-05-12 | Won |
1087 | 905 | 74% | 2010-01-16 | Won |
1151 | 999 | 71% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
885 | 987 | 36% | 2009-11-05 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1100.4 vs 1054.3 has a 56.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).