Smiling Albert
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (18 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (American): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 1036 | 37% | 2025-06-27 | Won |
| 1074 | 1094 | 47% | 2025-05-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2025-04-15 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1106 | 38% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 930 | 1099 | 27% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1416 | 1096 | 86% | 2016-09-07 | Won |
| 1070 | 1038 | 55% | 2014-10-13 | Won |
| 1051 | 973 | 61% | 2012-03-23 | Won |
| 1333 | 1212 | 67% | 2012-02-08 | Won |
| 976 | 1162 | 26% | 2011-10-21 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2011-08-08 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1020 | 66% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1091 | 43% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 999 | 1075 | 39% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2011-05-12 | Won |
| 1106 | 904 | 76% | 2010-01-16 | Won |
| 1141 | 999 | 69% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 898 | 987 | 37% | 2009-11-05 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1065.1 vs 1069.5 has a 49.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).