Smiling Albert
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (19 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (American): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 996 | 48% | 2025-06-27 | Won |
| 1066 | 1082 | 48% | 2025-05-17 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2025-04-15 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1120 | 36% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 920 | 1142 | 22% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1434 | 1159 | 83% | 2016-09-07 | Won |
| 1070 | 1033 | 55% | 2014-10-13 | Won |
| 969 | 971 | 50% | 2012-03-23 | Won |
| 1251 | 1213 | 55% | 2012-02-08 | Won |
| 966 | 1108 | 31% | 2011-10-21 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2011-08-08 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1019 | 66% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 973 | 1042 | 40% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 999 | 1085 | 38% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1233 | 1133 | 64% | 2011-05-12 | Won |
| 1102 | 904 | 76% | 2010-01-16 | Won |
| 1215 | 1070 | 70% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 987 | 986 | 50% | 2009-11-05 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1115 | 70% | 2009-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1073.9 vs 1072.8 has a 50.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).