Smiling Albert
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (19 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (American): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1088 | 54% | 2025-06-27 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2025-05-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2025-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2024-01-11 | | Lost |
| 920 | 1149 | 21% | 2023-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1435 | 1171 | 82% | 2016-09-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2014-10-13 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2012-03-23 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2012-02-08 | | Won |
| 957 | 1136 | 26% | 2011-10-21 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2011-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2011-06-26 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1064 | 32% | 2011-06-26 | | Won |
| 999 | 1183 | 26% | 2011-06-25 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1134 | 64% | 2011-05-12 | | Won |
| 1103 | 904 | 76% | 2010-01-16 | | Won |
| 1169 | 1022 | 70% | 2009-11-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 986 | 52% | 2009-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2009-10-09 | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1065.1 vs 1064 has a 50.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).