The Bet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Norwegian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1412 | 1345 | 60% | 2024-01-25 | Won |
| 1002 | 1046 | 44% | 2015-05-16 | Won |
| 1041 | 1120 | 39% | 2014-05-26 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1151.7 vs 1170.3 has a 47.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).